Volume III: Satus of Bellum, Chapter 2: Dice Roll

[Randy Bailey]

Well this round I feel my luck is going to be a big factor. Will we get the reward which is based on luck? Will I be screwed in the almost certain tribal switch? Its all a mystery.

I have to say I am kind of annoyed the reward challenge is a luck based one. Its hardly something we can earn or whatever. It also further reinforces what I have told to many players that the winner of this game has to have ALOT of good luck. Good players are gonna go because of bad luck which is high in a game of this size. And this further makes people rely on luck which takes away the strategic part of the game.

Me and Taj have a private joke which we call "The Daily Taj" basically she gives me news updates when I get home every night about the days events. I usually get sent a PM, involving convo's then she tells me through AIM everything else which has happened and it works out great. It is hillarious the stuff about Frosti. He is just so pathetic. First him and me talk about how we are all good, then he talks to Taj about me (stupid boy) saying how I am a "big big game player" and makes up these lies to her saying I am trying to take out Casaya. So where did that come from? I have no idea. Of course he is right but there will be time before that happens for sure. I have tried to convince her a few times to throw a challenge, one time I practically did. But then she talked herself out of it and continued her undefeated streak which is quite remarkable. She is a huge threat I think. She is going to be the hard one to take out. Yul is not playing too well right now which I don't really get. Lacking in confidence it seems. More on Yul later. But yeah, Taj is playing a GREAT game right now. Everyone trusts her and likes her. And EVERYONE will vote for her at the end and want to take her there. Except me. So I will have to get her out eventually. She might be pissed after but she never was taking me to the end, she was taking James as she told me which I still don't know why she did that.

More later on Yul, AAA and whatever this dice roll of a challenge and probably swap turns out to be.

[Jaime Huffman]

So I am curious, of the 22 people that have left the game, do you believe any have just fallen short due to bad luck?

[Randy Bailey]

Well the game has certainly changed big time. With Ethan, Paloma and James returning, Taj/Yul now have more allies to combat me with. This is going to have to mean I will have to make my move earlier then I thought against them.

Here is how I break it down who's loyalities lie with who from the players who I expect to go far:

Taj

Aras (I feel I could swap him)
James
Tracy

Yul

Paloma
Ethan
Terry
Amanda

Myself

Natalie
Mick
Corrine (Today James told me he was Frosti's number 1???)
Sandra
Colby
Ashley (More on the last three later, they could be a threat later on)
Cirie (I hope she is not with Frosti)
Rob C (I hope so anyway)

The problem with this is that my people are no where near as tight as the other twos. And also my people are likely to be taken out early which is a huge concern meaning an early move is likely. Yul is saying the top 5 from the main 3 tribes are going to be the F15 however I am gonna have to have other ideas about that I think. Taj is the person who could flip my people such as Rob C or Colby/Sandra/Ashley alliance.

More later.

[Randy Bailey]

Well Yul yesterday was being so depressed. Lately he has been lacking in confidence and such. I don't really get it personally. Well things totally changed we he gained back Paloma and Ethan. All the confidence came back and he seems to feel alot safer. And so now its another thing to worry about. I asked him what his long term plans were and he said he honestly hadn't thought about it and I do believe him however I know I have no future with him or Taj. Maybe top 5 at best? This return of past castaways has really ruined my game personally. Forced me to make a move earlier then I want. However for now I will just keep control of my tribe and continue my ways. And yes that does mean I have tried a move against Frosti again. Will see tomorrow if I have pulled it off so more on that later.

James told me today that Corrine was Frosti's number 1!!! That came out of no where. I am sure he got Candice and Corrine mixed up hence why I chose Corrine as our 5th member. I was glad Taj got James to choose me. Gives me safety. I chose Mick as I think I really do trust him and I chose him instead of Natalie to distantance her and me. I got Mick to choose Natalie because I still want to be with her and us three have a F3 anyway. Natalie was a bit worried about Corrine saying I was trying to get back with Timbira, not true but she is quite paranoid to say the least, so I managed to calm things down. Now Corrine should choose Todd and then two randoms.

So tomorrow a huge confessional is coming. Paragraphs so I remember: AAA developments, the switch, Frosti Assassination Take 2 and anything new that develops.

[Randy Bailey]

Jul 10, 2010 12:11:08 GMT -5 Jaime Huffman said:

So I am curious, of the 22 people that have left the game, do you believe any have just fallen short due to bad luck?

Yes ironically alot of the people that have come back into the game had bad luck involved. Ethan, Paloma and James were all screwed by the swap. First two landing on Frosti's tribe and James on the girls alliance tribe. Tom screwed himself as I have told him quite a few times. Of the others I can't tell due to not know them but I am sure there have been more cases of luck being involved. Todays swap was good in that regard as it took the luck out.

[Randy Bailey]

First about Ashley, Colby and Sandra who seem to have formed a power three alliance. Those three who seem oddly tight, so tight in fact I believe they have played in games before. That is practically the end of anything I had with Sandra. However I still like Colby and oddly seem to trust him. So I offered him a get out of jail free card with the Frosti plan. More on that later. I have no idea how Ashley was brought into it though. She is NEVER online PM wise and I have yet to see her on AIM. How she has got this far I do not know. Sandra is also only ever online on the sites. Its all PMs with her. I have no idea what is happening with them. They also had the nerve to try and form an alliance with me to control the former Aitu. That really annoyed me due to the fact they are never around to talk. So lucky for them there was this swap. Its also good for me. It means at the merge I can still work with them unless they feel bad I picked Mick. However Colby was all fine with that so I hope the rest do.

The switch has been very interesting. We have seen the three leaders of AAA all end up on seperate tribes and Frosti on the fourth. Which is terrific. Means no ego's will clash early on. Taj was very bossy at the swap. When we were deciding who we wanted she first took Aras and then took Rob C. And didn't even care she just said "I can take whoever I want" well she is starting to get on my nerves. We are in a position of power and she is acting all cocky now. For my tribe, I was intially worried about but we have a solid five with myself, Nat, Mick, James and Corrine. We should be able to expand that aswell. Me, Nat and Mick have a solid F3 which is great and will certainly help me in my efforts to win this game. Frosti's tribe which he called "Frosti's Fans" - what a stupid name - is the tribe which I fixed in order to get him out. However I had to choose Gregg to go on that tribe after Yul couldn't control his dog Rob M who went and picked Sandra.

Well I have tried and I think managed to achieve Frosti's Assassination 2.0. Or atleast the first part. The plan was for me to get Cirie to pick Colby who would then choose Ashley and who would then choose Sandra. I talked to the other tribe effective "leaders" Yul and Taj in order for them to give protection to Ashley and Sandra If Cirie picked Colby because she was very iffy over it orginally. Those four would then join forces and later on I found out that Colby and Tom are quite close too so in theory those 5 would join together to take out the threat of Frosti. Orginally Cirie said that she thinks she could flip Kelly and earlier today Yul told me he could get Lex however I kind of doubt that as Frosti/Lex are very close. That is all the theory stuff. In reality it the first part worked close to perfection. Except that Rob M/Yul screwed up. However I managed to cover it by putting Gregg onto that tribe who is an easy vote off. The Ashley, Colby, Cirie and Tom NO MATTER WHAT can take out Frosti the following vote. If they want him gone right away then we can make that happen however he is going soon (unless this reward comes into play however I hope its a blindside). I think it is actually a brilliant plan. I screwed up the first time in trusting Coach so of course I had to make the next plan even better! What was good was when I told Colby of the plan he was eager to do it because of his hate for Frosti. I didn't even have to convince him of why he had to take Frosti out! Tom could be an issue. He is so stubborn and told me he doesn't like being told what to do thats why FA1.0 failed among other reasons. I mishandled the last time however this time I have Colby who wants Frosti out with a passion and Cirie who is brilliant at executing my cross-tribal votes as shown in the past in my last game where she did two of them for me. I owe her alot I must admit. I have yet to repay her properly but she trusts me and often takes my plans just based on my word (once she also wanted the person out) which is obviously good. However I have saved her from Yul and Taj. She would be out very soon if she didn't do this. Like seriously. This plan is going to do alot of good. Makes me look good, takes Frosti out, saves Cirie and ensures I gain Colby who I had doubts about. Although ater a recent chat I told him if Cirie didn't pick him I would get Todd to pick him instead however that didn't have to happen.

Frosti has also been trying to get involved in my tribe. He did a "me" to be honest. He started a group chat (which I didn't actually do I was just invited) and invited Mick, PG, Coach and Natalie. First Mick told me and then Natalie was invited and told me what was happening. He is so foolish, I offered him a way out yet he thinks I hate him which is just bizarre. I am glad however that in this chat he is targeting James more then myself. Both will not happen however it means that if Coach uses this lifeline crap, it will be bad for James and not myself. Frosti is unlucky I have my tribe sorted. He went to the people I chose! Why he did that? I don't know. He is certainly off his game in recent times and just generally making lies constantly. Its kind of annoying and I do realise the irony of him getting involed in my tribe however thats my thing! He should just keep to his own drama-causing trademark.

PG and I had a pretty interesting talk. She told me how she felt used by Frosti and then by Yul and how she never talked to anyone except when it was time to vote or stuff like that. She also said people called her names and such and that when Yul and Terry (Why Terry I don't really get, one of the reasons I don't like the direction of AAA) asked her to join AAA, that she said no and they called her naive. She was telling me that she liked myself and Mick as we were nice and welcomed her to the tribe. So she said she was going to join in an alliance with us if that was alright and of course I said yes. I kind of made out I was the good guy in this war and she liked it. By the end of it I really started trusting her for whatever reason. I think she is genuine and could be important in me taking out Yul and Taj later on. She HATES Ethan big time so if I can use that for me, its good. She also told me everything that Frosti had been saying and what not so I knew I could trust her as she did not know I already knew from Mick and Nat.

[Jaime Huffman]

OH my, this is all really like a full time job!!!

How did Mick and Natalie become your Final 3? Abd why does Peih-Gee hate Ethan so much, or was that Taj?

[Randy Bailey]

Well I talked about a "major development" that occured later on that may affect decisions in swaps etc and that was it. We formed a Final 3 on Aitu. Me and Nat are super tight and I feel I am pretty close with Mick too. However I never really trusted him at the start so the fact I do now is odd. Of course I have my alliance with Corrine and this F3 as my long term commitments so I don't know how I will really play this out. I am hoping that one of them gets screwed to be honest. I have a F2 with Nat and we are definatly solid I feel so in an ideal world we will make the F2 I think. Given her "history" and her style of play I think I could beat her in that position. Its just a matter of whether or not the jury who will be mainly full of my former allys, will be bitter or not. I don't think they would respect the way she plays so I hope not. However our F3 is solid and no one knows about it at all. People might have ideas about me and Mick but NO ONE knows about me and Nat so I will of course use these factors to my advantage. Mick will probably take Nat to the end I feel but its too early to consider that anyway.

I trust Nat 100%. I have no doubts which is the first time ever in a game (allbeit I haven't played many ) I truly feel that I can trust her no matter what. I don't think she has withheld anything from me that is major and important to this game and I think that is a display of why I can trust her. She goes out of her way to tell me who she is talking to and what not and although I don't feel it is needed, perhaps subconsiously it is a reason I trust her so much. We have a private joke over how she is my PA/secretary and in a way it actually is true. Normally I tell her things then ask her later on about them. She is like my personal memory bank. She fetches AIM names for me, tells me "online activities", gives me updates on our tribe and of course tells me everything she has been doing. It is actually great I just hope she doesn't feel I treat her like that too much as I want her to feel we are on level terms and treated like an equal like I do. We also have another joke how I am the Director of the FBI. Why? Because I seem to know everything through my "agents" as we call it. I know the people in good positions in this game and have an "in" on every alliance. Taj and Yul obviously are valuable, Marcus who has left the game is good for info due to his wide range of contacts, Cirie gives me Frosti's latest... My newest "agent" is PG who told me everything as mentioned before about what people have been up to. I know the prizes given out first, whos going from other tribes etc... I would be surprised if anyone in this game new as much as I do and I don't say that in an arrogant way, its just I have a pretty huge network that provides alot of info hence why I am the Director of the FBI Also its probably a name given due to my influence over other tribes and such.

So from now on I will talk about Nat and Mick more because I suppose it is a part of the game I have left out that in my mind is quite major which is unfair of you.

As for PG and Ethan. They have past game history. PG found out that Ethan "cheated" (he says he didn't because he used a controller instead of a keyboard in the challenge) from a co-host (Marcus's game). She used this info to try and get Ethan out and there has been alot of hate back and forth between the two. Ethan campaigns daily to me to get PG out however I don't think I am going to do that for some reason

[Jaime Huffman]

Very interesting stuff, who would have figured, Randy & Nat, lol.

[Randy Bailey]

K epic TC OMG!!!. I need to cover alot. Yul and I had a fall out. The fallout of that. Rob C and his tribes vote. My assassination of Frosti. Thinking Kelly was the PW Kelly And then the recovery stage and aftermath of all these events.

[Randy Bailey]

Well where to begin. I will start with Taj's tribe. First off I am having a nice calm day, things looking likely that Becky is going and Frosti too then BAM. I say a nice friendly "Hi" to Taj and she responds asking some odd questions about Aras. Whether he is trustworthy etc. So I go talk to Aras who I trust alot and he has no idea why these questions are coming out. He then mentions that earlier Tracy had come to him and talked about getting rid of Taj. Almost at the same time Taj tells me someone is trying to blindside her. That person being Aras. She shows me a screenshot of a convo and it shows Aras in the wrong. I call an emergency AAA meeting and we talk (Taj not much) and support Aras. He sends my a copy of the REAL convo proving that Tracy faked it all.

Then out of no where. Yul annouces this is my fault and that I am the reason for all this. Everyone stops talking to me out of no where (dealing with the problem) and I am just so confused at how I am linked to this. To make matters worse Rob C takes it public and I instantly think Yul will blame me. At this point he is convinced I am working with Rob. Then Rob posts a Joker pic saying "Why so Serious?" now on the surface this may seem like nothing but its of huge importance. In my last game, right before I managed to counter-blindside Yul I posted a Joker video saying "Here we go" knowing that he had no idea he was going. After we talked about how epic it was and he loved it and it becamse my trademark. Now imagine in Yul's shoes, someone you think has betrayed you, aligned with the guy posting that, posts a Joker pic directed at Yul. Surely too much of a coincidence? Well as much as I would like to claim it, it was not me. I am not that dumb to know that Yul would instantly recognise it. After this no one is talking to me as I believe they all think I am guilty. I ask Yul what I can do to fix our problem and he says solve the problem I started. I am like "WTH??!?!?" I had nothing to do with this!!!" It doesn't matter. So I talk with my friend Rob C, trying to get him to flip but he tells me why it wouldn't be right for him to do that and I agreed with him. It is admirable what he has done I will give him that. Its just sad it was all for nothing... So I tell Yul and he still wants me to explain the Joker thing. Something with no explanation apart from the fact it was a coincidence. I suppose my nickname as pointed out to me several times could be The Joker! I like that

The vote on that tribe was crazy too. A 4-3-1 vote. I feel partly to blame in the reason Danni/Becky voted Taj. Why? Because I told Rob C to get them to change the vote to Aras so that Taj would be available to pick the rocks. It seems he tried that and perhaps too late which screwed them over. I told him sorry for it and he said it wasn't my fault but I feel super bad. Mookie was claiming (and telling us to put it in our confessionals lol) that he flipped Danni to misdirect her vote. Well I dunno about that and of course I didn't tell them of how I tried to save Aras for VERY obvious reasons. It would of benefited me if Taj went, shes a big threat and then I personally can pick up her leftovers.

Now to the other tribe. I had previously talked about my part in the attempted assassination of Frosti. I had organised their tribe so it would be perfect for a blindside of Frosti. Idealy 5-3 in my mind. Well that worked out just perfectly. IF not even better. Cirie managed to get Kelly to vote Frosti and Yul had a quick chat with Lex and managed to get him to flip. 7-1!!! Thats terrific. I knew he wouldn't escape me twice. The problem is the fallout from that. He went berserk on AIM and on the forums. I was the main person he went crazy at but w/e. I got him out and I am happy for that. However I must give credit to Cirie and Colby who all did well in executing the plan. My biggest fear now is that there is going to be a huge target on my back. Blindsiding one of the biggest players in the game will not go unnoticed. For the most part I hope when people read Frosti's crap they will just think its Frosti trying to cause more trouble. There have also been recent developments it seems. People seem to think I have been speaking to everyone (not really true) and apparently it is a widely spoken topic. I don't care as I feel I can trust the people I am with but I have to be on my guard. I am now top real estate for blindsiding! I am kind of happy I got him. I said I would stop with my cross tribal activities but it is addictive. I will stop now though. I have done my part and people will notice which is what I fear. It is certainly a trademark of mine! A topic I brought up amongest the AAA was whether Frosti deserved an AS position. I believe he does from a neutral point of view. He has created much drama in this game and certainly made it interesting (and stressful) but there is my 2 cents on that.

His freakout is quite childish though and I don't respect him for that. I don't know if he is a desperate attention seeker or just a lonely guy who takes these games way to seriously. You kinda have to feel sorry for the guy. He said to me that I am trying to be the King... Well am I? I don't really care to be honest. I just want to play this game as a strategically. Villain or Hero? Don't matter to me. I just get the job done either way. Whatever floats your boat I say.

And then when I wake up in the morning, Kelly is on. For whatever reason I think it is the PW Kelly. So we are chatting as if I think she is the PW I am telling her all this stuff. And then she starts going all agressive on me asking why I hate Frosti, that many people are talking about how I am the centre of all these drama's etc. I am like wondering why a PW would be telling me all this. So I talk to Yul and asking why ahollywoodslayer would be doing all this and then he shocks me big time. ahollywoodslayer is not a PW. I am like freaking out, wondering how much I said and I don't even know who she is. Then Natalie tells me it is Kelly from this game. At this point I am like losing my mind, skim reading the convo to make sure I haven't said anything to incriminating. Thank god I didn't. Game over for me otherwise but the issues are probably resolved now. Kelly is super odd. She comes onto me (flirting) super hard. Like real hard. I play along (And Sydney/Jaime I don't want to hear anything of how I am now doing it but its kinda dodgy at times. Apparently she may be the infamous Todd. Colby told me her (or should I say his) name is Michael. This was brought up in a convo with Yul who she stalked for ages (2 weeks) and he said Todd's name was Michael... What I am concerned about is the fact I was probably just flirting with a guy! Eww that made me sick.

However with the sucessful ouster of Frosti and the survival of AAA on Saboga, everything appears to be patched up. With me and Yul too. It has been a uniting experience. However I will not forget. The way they ALL treated me was not right. Yul told them crap and they ignored me. I won't forget that. They will be joining Frosti eventually.

I have probably forgot some so PW and Hosts ask away!

[Jaime Huffman]

I need to run, we are leaving, I will comment about this later! Good stuff!!!

[Sydney Wheeler]

I play along (And Sydney/Jaime I don't want to hear anything of how I am now doing it

SLUT!!!!! LMAO!!!

[Sydney Wheeler]

What I am concerned about is the fact I was probably just flirting with a guy! Eww that made me sick.

[Randy Bailey]

Lol Sydney, it was an accident. We both know if it was you and it was a girl, you would be doing that on purpose